RESEARCH PULSE
Businesses continually adapt their strategies in response to economic cycles, tailoring their approaches to align with the maturity stages of their industries. Economic fluctuations impact firms differently depending on whether they are in the introduction, growth, maturity, or decline stage. In this article we explore how economic conditions influence strategic decisions, from investment in innovation to operational efficiency and market expansion and introduce the Boom and Bloom matrix as a visual tool to guide strategy thinking.
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Market shifts are inevitable, driven by economic changes, technology, consumer trends, and geopolitical disruptions. Firms that successfully pivot leverage agility, innovation, and strategic foresight to stay competitive. The dynamic capabilities framework highlights how companies like Amazon, Tesla, and Zara have adapted by reconfiguring resources and investing in digital transformation. Rising defense budgets and the digitalization of security present new opportunities, particularly for struggling industries like the European automotive supply chain. By repurposing their existing deep expertise, these firms can pivot into adjacent defense applications. Effective market pivots require organizational flexibility, innovation, and supportive policies to foster long-term resilience and growth.
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RESEARCH PULSE
Workplace diversity has been recognized as a driver of innovation, enhanced creativity, and improved decision-making. Diverse teams provide various perspectives, boosting problem-solving and adaptability. However, its impact depends on company culture and management strategies. While diversity offers significant benefits, such as reducing cognitive biases and enhancing resource networks, it can also present challenges like communication barriers. Effective management of diversity is crucial to leverage its full potential. In the same vein, cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&As) can further drive innovation by blending diverse cultural and governance practices, creating a competitive advantage.
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RESEARCH PULSE
Private equity has evolved significantly, growing from a niche sector in 1989 to accounting for 2–5% of GDP in recent years. PE firms create value through productivity gains, managerial improvements, and market expansion, driving sales growth and innovation. They target both turnaround and high-profit firms, leveraging capital and expertise. Despite significant challenges like stagnant exits, volatile IPO markets, and higher interest rates, the sector adapts by emphasizing longer-term strategies. These include operational turnarounds, corporate carve-outs, and collaborations with experts.
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RESEARCH PULSE
Activist investing plays a pivotal role in corporate transformation, as investors seek to optimize company performance and maximize shareholder value. Over the past two decades, activist hedge funds have expanded significantly, exerting substantial influence over corporate governance and strategic decision-making. These investors typically target undervalued firms with high institutional ownership and governance deficiencies, often resulting in board restructuring and CEO turnover. In 2022–2023 alone, 1,139 activist campaigns were initiated globally. The evolving leadership landscape, particularly in technology, highlights the growing impact of activist investors, whose influence on corporate strategy, governance, and shareholder returns remains profound.
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RESEARCH PULSE
Looking ahead to 2025, we approach the future with cautious optimism. While mixed signals persist and the unpredictable dynamics of geopolitics and American politics present undeniable risks, the overall trajectory appears to be one of normalization. This normalization encompasses structural and long-term trends, which will pose challenges for some industries while offering support to others.
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Private Equity, Strategy, Innovation, Economics, ESG, Europe, Activist Investors, and Retail and Luxury.
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As the luxury industry experiences a slowdown, brands may need to strike a balance between exclusivity and price increases, as customers begin to question the value of mainstream products priced at significantly higher levels. With price hikes nearing their limit, brands will be compelled to explore alternative avenues for sustainable growth.
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Our analysis of projected revenue growth for 2024–2025 highlights promising trends across most sectors in Europe and North America. In contrast, emerging markets, including Latin America, continue to face significant headwinds and structural inefficiencies.
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In Europe, “it is now possible to identify market-leading yet relatively under-the-radar companies with valuations exceeding $1 billion, often at a discount compared to their US peer” notes Alexis Maskell from BC Partners in a recent interview on January 12th with the Financial Times
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Aquisis conducted a comprehensive analysis of over 600 nonfinancial small and midcap companies across Europe. The evaluation, which assessed firms across four key dimensions, revealed that 15% of these companies exhibit an elevated risk of becoming targets for activist investors.
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If you don't mind regularly spending a few hundred dollars to protect the value of your car (~ 0.5% of value), you surely understand that a regular check-up on your company's strategy makes sense - and will come a lot cheaper relative to the value.
Private markets investors create value by seeing value and -more importantly- untapped value creation potential, and then utilizing high-powered incentives to realize them. Aquisis takes a cue from this playbook to help private companies generate sustainable value for generations. For an insider, key value levers may be invisible and big changes may go unnoticed when they come creeping up. The strategy diagnostic addresses this issue.
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